3/21/2023
Stocks

Crown Jewel Stocks Like Ambev: Are Global Investors Losing Out to BRICS?

As economic power shifts and geopolitical alliances like BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) strengthen, “crown jewel” companies—market leaders with global reach, like Ambev—are increasingly finding their growth and investment potential tied to emerging markets. What does this mean for international investors, and are these assets slipping out of reach for Western portfolios?

1. Ambev: A Brazilian Powerhouse With Global Reach

Ambev S.A. (NYSE: ABEV) is Latin America’s largest brewer and a key subsidiary of Anheuser-Busch InBev. Its brands dominate markets from Brazil to Argentina, with distribution networks reaching across the Americas. For years, Ambev has been considered a “crown jewel” stock: a blue-chip emerging market play with strong cash flow, iconic brands, and exposure to fast-growing consumer markets.

2. The Rise of BRICS and Shifting Investment Flows

The BRICS bloc is increasingly asserting itself as an economic counterweight to the West. With rising intra-bloc trade, joint investment initiatives, and efforts to develop alternative financial systems, BRICS countries are working to keep capital—and strategic assets—within their sphere.

  • Local Market Preference: As BRICS economies mature, domestic investors and sovereign funds are more likely to buy and hold shares in local champions like Ambev, keeping value creation closer to home.
  • Regulatory Headwinds: Growing scrutiny of foreign ownership and capital flows in BRICS nations can make it harder for Western investors to access or retain stakes in top companies.
  • Currency and Policy Risks: Volatility in local currencies and shifting regulatory frameworks can erode returns for international shareholders, making these stocks less attractive or harder to hold.

3. Are Western Investors Losing Out?

Historically, crown jewel stocks like Ambev have been staples in global emerging market funds. But several trends are making access and returns more challenging:

  • Market Repatriation: As BRICS nations build their own capital markets, more companies are listing locally or via regional exchanges, sometimes delisting from U.S. or European markets.
  • Strategic Nationalism: Some governments are pushing for “economic sovereignty,” encouraging domestic ownership of strategic assets and discouraging foreign takeovers.
  • Valuation Gaps: As local investors become more active, valuations can diverge from global norms, making it tougher for outside capital to compete.

4. Case Study: Ambev’s Strategic Position

Ambev remains listed on the NYSE, but its strategic importance to Brazil and the broader BRICS food and beverage sector means it’s increasingly seen as a national asset. Local pension funds, state-backed investors, and regional conglomerates are major shareholders. Meanwhile, Ambev’s growth is driven by the rising middle class within BRICS countries—growth that may not fully translate to foreign investors if capital controls or currency risks intensify.

5. What This Means for Investors

  • Diversification Is Key: Investors seeking exposure to BRICS “crown jewels” like Ambev need to diversify across markets and hedge against currency and policy risks.
  • Watch for Access Risks: Stay alert to regulatory changes, potential delistings, and barriers to repatriating capital.
  • Focus on Fundamentals: Companies like Ambev remain fundamentally strong, but the path to capturing their growth may increasingly run through local, rather than global, channels.

Bottom Line

The rise of BRICS is reshaping the landscape for “crown jewel” stocks like Ambev. While the long-term fundamentals remain attractive, global investors may face new hurdles in accessing and profiting from these assets. As always, thorough research, risk management, and adaptability are essential when investing in emerging market leaders.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. All investing involves risk, including the risk of loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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